Dynamic Model for Drinking Water Consumption in Times of SARS-CoV-2 in Corazón City, Pangua, Cotopaxi, Ecuador, South America

The urban parish, Corazón city, is located in the Pangua canton, Cotopaxi province, foothills of Andes Mountain range, where water supply drinking currently carried out by gravity with a storage tank to population. This research analyzed during period confinement due Covid-19 pandemic. was based on change use, behavior, and losses system. In order population conditions, data from registered volumes were employed, distributed consumed registers variables used develop dynamic model, which has helped estimate charge consumption pandemic lockdown. Hence, current determined, forecast considering actual conditions. Finally, model proposed; results obtained showed that had not experienced any significant social distancing period, maximum growth rate 0.2755 will be reached December 2020. A sharp tendency probably observed because majority city have been working home before after To conclude, it necessary remark thanks provided, possible this behavior within mathematical formulas Vensim Software, having close reality; Indeed, two critical scenarios considered system under analysis.